AUD/USD (week of 06-10/03)

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Weekly Summary

Low volatility market leaves Aussie-Dollar flat around around 0.6583 .

A good end to the trading week, AUD/USD is up to 0.6583, after closing yesterday at zero. Overall, a 0% move or 6,583 pips this week. (Trade Aussie-Dollar with FXTM now).

Aussie-Dollar upside coincides with further encouraging market factors as new Retail Sales data from Australia matched market expectations with a reading of 1.9% -- a positive step in contrast to previous data of -4% from last month. Unemployment Rate in United States fell short of market expectations (3.4) with a reading of 3.6, continuing the decline from the previous figure of 3.4.

Nevertheless, highly important Non Farm Payrolls data from United States beat analyst expectations of 205,000 with a reading of 311,000.

At the same time, Australia Interest Rate released Tuesday with a figure of 3.6, while the previous figure was 3.35. Australia CFTC AUD speculative net positions released today at 20:30 UTC with a figure of -24,800, while the previous figure was -28,100.

Outlook for rest of the week: Positive indicators for Aussie-Dollar are expected going forward as Australia Employment Change is projected to outperform its last figure with 48,500. It previously stood at -11,500; data will be released Thursday.

Furthermore, the market is looking at Australia NAB Business Confidence (Feb) is expected Tuesday. Australia Unemployment Rate is projected to outperform its last figure with 3.6. It previously stood at 3.7; data will be released Thursday.

Mar. 10, 2023

Weak sentiment sees the Australian dollar posting 0.17% loss

(23:06) GMT

Slightly weaker but mostly flat: the Australian dollar is currently trading at 0.6583 as it maintains an active range between 0.6568 and 0.6641.

Highly important Non Farm Payrolls data from United States beat analyst expectations of 205,000 with a reading of 311,000.

On the flip side, following a previous reading of 3.4, Unemployment Rate in United States released today at 13:30 UTC fell short of the 3.4 figure expected by analysts with an actual reading of 3.6.

Meanwhile, Australia CFTC AUD speculative net positions released today at 20:30 UTC with a figure of -24,800, while the previous figure was -28,100.

Despite being in the red so far in the current trading session, AUD/USD peaked above its 3 day Simple Moving Average around 0.6634 — typically an early indicator of a new bullish trend beginning to emerge. Bollinger Bands® shows an indication of recovery: the lower band is at 0.6531, a low enough level to, generally, suggest that Aussie-Dollar is trading below its fair value. On the other hand, note that having stamped out a session range of 0.6568 to 0.6641, Fibonacci-inclined the Australian dollar traders were highly concentrated around active Fibonacci support at 0.6583.

Overall, looking at the technical analysis landscape, although technical indicators are mixed and pointing in different directions, it seems the Australian dollar is set to appreciate despite today's setback.

In the meantime, negative performances are also seen in other pairs as USD/CHF drops 1.2% to trade around 0.9213.

Though Aussie-Dollar has been dropping, other pairs have been performing better: GBP/USD is up 0.92%. GBP/CAD is up 0.89%.

This year has been a gloomy one for Aussie-Dollar after trading as high as 0.7581 and going on to lose 2.98% of its value.

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