AUD/USD (week of 09-13/01)

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Weekly Summary

Stalemate for Aussie-Dollar bulls and bears .

A good end to the trading week, AUD/USD is up to 0.698, after closing yesterday at zero. Overall, a 0% move or 6,979 pips this week. (Trade Aussie-Dollar with FXTM now).

This move comes while some more positive signs for the Australian dollar are out as highly important Retail Sales data from Australia beat analyst expectations of 0.6% with a reading of 1.4%.

On the flip side, United States Initial Jobless Claims came out at 205,000, better than analyst estimates of 215,000 and improving upon the previous reading of 206,000.

At the same time, Australia CFTC AUD speculative net positions released today at 20:30 UTC with a figure of -33,700, while the previous figure was -36,300. Australia Home Loans (MoM) came out at -2, while a consensus of analysts was expecting -3. United States Consumer Price Index released yesterday at 13:30 UTC with a figure of -0.1%, while the previous figure was 0.1%.

Also worthy of note, Australia Employment Change projected to decline to 22,500 while previous data was 64,000; data will be released Thursday.

Furthermore, the market is looking at Australia Unemployment Rate is expected Thursday. Australia Full Time Employment is expected Thursday.

Jan. 13, 2023

The Australian dollar gains positive traction for a 4th successive day

(23:06) GMT

Currently trading at 0.698, Aussie-Dollar remains range-bound between 0.6917 and 0.6996.

Meanwhile, Australia CFTC AUD speculative net positions released today at 20:30 UTC with a figure of -33,700, while the previous figure was -36,300. Australia Home Loans (MoM) came out at -2, while a consensus of analysts was expecting -3. United States Consumer Price Index came out at -0.1%, while a consensus of analysts was expecting 0%.

AUD/USD reversed direction at 0.6977 resistance zone and retreated back 2 pips below it. Although up today, early price action saw the Australian dollar dropping below its 3 day Simple Moving Average at 0.6922 — an early indicator that a new downward trend could be emerging. Bollinger Band® analysis indicates that current price action is approaching the upper band at 0.7016, thereby suggesting that the Australian dollar is becoming overvalued.

Technical analysis suggests there could be an imminent reversal for Aussie-Dollar.

While Aussie-Dollar is up today, these currencies are lagging behind: EUR/JPY dips 1.26% to trade around 138.5. USD/JPY closed at 127.83 (down 1.14%). GBP/JPY is down 160 pips from the beginning of the session and now trades around 156.3.

This year has been a bright one for Aussie-Dollar after trading as low as 0.6213 and going on to appreciate by 2.64% year to date.

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