Crude OIL (week of 06-10/03)

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Weekly Summary

Range-bound WTI crude drifts up $76.68 to close at $76.68 per barrel .

Crude Oil rose $76.68 to close at $76.68 per barrel today which makes for a move of 0%. (Start trading WTI crude oil at FXTM today).

WTI crude upside coincides with further encouraging market factors as highly important Non Farm Payrolls data from United States beat analyst expectations of 205,000 with a reading of 311,000.

Nevertheless, highly important Unemployment Rate data from United States beat analyst expectations of 3.4 with a reading of 3.6. United States Initial Jobless Claims published yesterday at 13:30 UTC came out at 211,000, falling short of the 195,000 projections and continuing its decline from the previous 190,000 figure. Following a previous reading of 1.17 million, Crude Oil Inventories in United States released Wednesday fell short of the 395,000 figure expected by analysts with an actual reading of -1.69 million.

Meanwhile, United States JOLTs Job Openings (Jan) released Wednesday with a figure of 10.82 million, while the previous figure was 11.23 million.

Furthermore, the market is looking at Wednesday data for United States Retail Sales will be released, with an expected decline to -0.3% from the preceding figure of 3%. United States Core Retail Sales projected to decline to 0.2% while previous data was 2.3%; data will be released Wednesday.

Furthermore, the market is looking at United States Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (Mar) will be released Thursday.

Mar. 10, 2023

Bullish sentiment helps propel West Texas crude to 1.27% gain

(23:27) GMT

A quick look at today: West Texas crude recovered all the way back up to $76.68 per barrel after dipping down to $74.77.

This move comes while some more positive signs for US crude oil are out as data for United States Non Farm Payrolls released today at 13:30 UTC is better than expected with 311,000, but worse than previous figure of 504,000.

On the flip side, following a previous reading of 3.4, Unemployment Rate in United States released today at 13:30 UTC fell short of the 3.4 figure expected by analysts with an actual reading of 3.6. Initial Jobless Claims in United States fell short of market expectations (195,000) with a reading of 211,000, continuing the decline from the previous figure of 190,000.

Crude Oil made an initial breakout above its 3 day Simple Moving Average at $76.61, a potential indicator of a newly emerging bullish phase. Having stamped out a session range of $74.77 to $77.11, Fibonacci-inclined West Texas crude traders were highly concentrated around active Fibonacci resistance at $76.53. US crude oil's lower Bollinger Band® is at $74.04, indicating that the market is oversold and fertile for new buyers. In contrast, WTI crude oil could be slowing down soon as it approaches resistance at $77.5. Of course, crossing it might suggest further gains are ahead.

Examining the technical analysis landscape, WTI crude oil might continue its downtrend in the short term.

Rallies can also be seen in other Energy, Heating Oil is trading around $2.78 after ending today's session at $2.67 (up 4.22% today). Brent Crude Oil moves up 1.4% today and closed at $81.59.

While US crude oil is higher so far today, these Energy commodities are underperforming: Natural Gas lost 4.21% today and closed at $2.54.

WTI crude oil is now trading 37.98% below the significant high of $122.09 it set around 9 months ago.

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